Welcome to The Matchday Digest!

A lunchtime newsletter, before gameweek 7 kicks off, here’s your digest of everything before Gameweek 7.

Gameweek 7 Preview and Projections

Title Race

Gameweek 6 saw what could be the biggest swing in the title race we see for a while, with Liverpool losing to Crystal Palace, themselves who are now in a title fight? Sounds strange to say, but now, just over 4% it’s not exactly unlikely.

Above is the plot showing the current Premier League Title Race with our current top 4 contenders.

Relegation Battle

The trend here is from September 28th to 29th, so don’t read into that too much (working on a fix!)

Wolves now by a significant amount the most likely team to be relegated at 66.5%.

Above is the plot to show relegation chance over the season so far, Sunderland with the 1.0 model started just over 70% likely to be releagted too!

Matrix

Thought I’d include the Matrix to give a general overview of teams positions after 10,000 sims.

How does the Fusion-Sim 1.0 Model see Gameweek 5

Testing out a shorter Digest format this week, just showing more data and less chat from me. Let me know your thoughts on the format!

— Aaron.