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Premier League - Gameweek 18

Premier League - Gameweek 18

Gameweek 18 Preview, Title Race Projections and MORE!

Aaron Warburton
December 26, 2025

Welcome to The Matchday Digest!

Happy Christmas to all celebrating. A very short digest this week.

Gameweek 18 Preview and Projections

Title Race

Not much change in the title race last week with all teams winning, Arsenal still just above 55%.

Relegation Battle

Wolves now at 99.45% chance of being relegated and now the current bottom three are all relegated in 50.2% of 10,000 sims, over half of the time its now Wolves, Burnley and West Ham down!

Matrix & Average Table

How does the Fusion-Sim 2.0 Model see Gameweek 18?

Hope you all have a great holiday season, and thanks for reading!

And finally, just for Manchester United fans, check out Back to Carrington below!

Match Reviews and Form & Trends all stat-based too

	Back to CarringtonA free Man Utd newsletter with data-driven tactical analysis, player reports, & match reviews. Go beyond the score with xG, form tracking, & pattern analysis.

That’s all for this week, thanks for reading!

— Aaron.