Gameweek 36

Welcome to The Matchday Digest, here is everything you need for Gameweek 36! A short catch-up this week before a bigger update next week on the race for Europe, now we know 6 Premier League sides will be in the Champions League next year.

Manchester City's attacking threat is the standout narrative of Gameweek 36. The model predicts a massive 2.55 expected goals away against Southampton, the highest of any team this week by a significant margin. Southampton's dismal 7.8% clean sheet projection further reinforces the likelihood of a difficult day at the office for their defence.

Forest has the highest expected goals average for a home team, averaging 2.28! And the clean sheet percentages are decent at almost 38%. This could be a crucial match for Forest to bounce back into form if they have any chance at Champions League Football next season.

Manchester City is heavily favoured to win away against Southampton, with a whopping 77.9% chance of victory. This reflects the gulf in quality and current form between the two sides. The model is expecting a dominant performance from Guardiola's team. In contrast, Southampton's chances of an upset are incredibly slim, according to the data.

Liverpool have a 50.2% chance of beating Arsenal, which now they are both out of European football, Arsenal will be looking to win and claim the moral victory, however, the model is giving just a 27.5% chance of that happening.

Man United vs West Ham might be the closest game on paper of the week, with a 44.4% chance of Man United winning. This could be lower in reality, with them likely to play a weaker team due to not much rest after their Europa League victory.