Gameweek 30

Welcome to The Matchday Digset. Here is everything you need for Gameweek 30. This is a short update, as we will be back on Friday before Gameweek 31!

Manchester City are the team the model projects to score the most goals in Gameweek 30, playing a Leicester City side that is pretty much relegated, as we will see come the plot later on.

Bournemouth playing at home to Ipswich is the next-highest scoring projected game for a single team, with them expected to score 2.45 goals against Ipswich.

Finally, we see Nottingham Forest is the 3rd highest team for projected goals this week at home against a very inconsistent Man United side. Projected to score 2.28 goals to United’s 1.12.

Following on from a look at the Nottingham Forest vs Man United Game, we can see Forest has a 60.7% chance to win the match outright with United seen winning this game in just 18.1% of the model’s simulations.

To put that in perspective, it sees it more likely that Southampton will pick up their third league win of the season than it is for Man United to pick up an away win against Forest.

On the other side of Manchester, City has by far the highest chance of winning their match, winning 85.9% of simulated games against Leicester.

As you can see from the title race plot, its as close to over as it can almost get. Surely there are no twists in this tale yet to come, with Liverpool sitting on 99.7% likely to win the Premier League Title.

Likewise, the relegation battle is pretty much over, with it so likely that all 3 newly promoted clubs are relegated that Wolves the closest other team don’t even appear on my graphic!

That’s all for this short update of the Matchday Digest; a long update will be back on Friday morning!