Welcome to The Matchday Digest!

FusionSim 1.8 Sneak Peek!

This week my main goal was to get all the models which feed the Premier League to the National League and the Champions League and co onto the new 1.0 model I have built. All of which are now complete and will tick over to 1.0 on their next update.

Therefore, this week, there are no new major features of pages to come out, however, there is plenty of new data for you to see and check out how the new model sees your team, as many of the lower leagues have seen significant changes.

The main goal of the 1.0 model was to make teams more likely to have miracle runs and more likely to have crash-and-burn seasons. Before the model I was using was far to certain too early, which made for huge swings from week to week when it was making an incorrect assumption.

From a technical standpoint, this means all the curves for point projections are much wider and flatter.

For example above is Liverpool’s projected points for the current season, you see now their most common total is just 81 points, at 4.78%. Their average points now sit at 80.7, whereas before they were on 88.7.

This actually has helped bring my model much closer to that of OPTA's Supercomputer’ model. With many of our title favourites now currently aligned and with just a few percentage points between.

Liverpool Case Study

• Fusion-Sim: 80.7 xPts, 54.67% Title

• OPTA: 80.42 xPts, 52.97% Title

My goal has not been to match OPTAs as we do rate teams differently; a clear example in the Premier League of this is Manchester United.

The 1.0 Fusion-Sim model has Manchester United projected to finish on 51.0 points, around 4 points higher than OPTA’s 47.17.

From my own experimenting, this is because the FusionSim model weights a team's strength much more long-term, and so teams do not fall off as quickly in this new version.

However, we still both have Manchester United winning the Premier League at roughly 0.1% so 1 in 1,000. Maybe there is still some hope!

Misc Updates

Similar to the League model staus tabs, below is now the same for the cups so you know when they are updating and when they were last updated.

Credit buff! Now I know that the server can handle alot of users, I have increased the amount of credits on offer massively and will slowly be rolling out more credits for Pro and Pro+ users too!

Thank you for the incredible support so far on FusionSim! September REWARD!

USE CODE: 'SEP5' TO GET 5 FREE CREDITS

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